Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 0.001418 0.001543 0.001676 0.001832 0.002008 0.002202 0.002434
2025-11-23 0.001262 0.001431 0.001625 0.001865 0.002157 0.002505 0.002958
2025-11-30 0.001146 0.001338 0.001566 0.001862 0.002243 0.002723 0.003393
2025-12-07 0.001041 0.001241 0.001487 0.001817 0.002258 0.002843 0.003705
2025-12-14 0.000967 0.001173 0.001433 0.001793 0.002292 0.002982 0.004055
2025-12-21 0.000896 0.001103 0.001369 0.001746 0.002285 0.003058 0.004316
2025-12-28 0.000809 0.001005 0.001261 0.001630 0.002167 0.002957 0.004285
2026-01-04 0.000749 0.000939 0.001190 0.001559 0.002107 0.002935 0.004372
2026-01-11 0.000711 0.000900 0.001155 0.001534 0.002112 0.003009 0.004629
2026-01-18 0.000682 0.000872 0.001131 0.001525 0.002138 0.003119 0.004961
2026-01-25 0.000749 0.000980 0.001306 0.001824 0.002680 0.004153 0.007234
2026-02-01 0.000709 0.000934 0.001255 0.001771 0.002638 0.004167 0.007475
2026-02-08 0.000669 0.000890 0.001209 0.001732 0.002632 0.004274 0.008009
2026-02-15 0.000650 0.000876 0.001207 0.001765 0.002757 0.004653 0.009290
2026-02-22 0.000625 0.000850 0.001186 0.001763 0.002818 0.004915 0.010385
2026-03-01 0.000593 0.000812 0.001144 0.001721 0.002799 0.005008 0.011066
2026-03-08 0.000568 0.000784 0.001114 0.001699 0.002815 0.005179 0.012039
2026-03-15 0.000540 0.000750 0.001074 0.001655 0.002784 0.005238 0.012697
2026-03-22 0.000502 0.000697 0.001001 0.001547 0.002613 0.004950 0.012151
2026-03-29 0.000474 0.000661 0.000953 0.001481 0.002524 0.004845 0.012200
2026-04-05 0.000456 0.000640 0.000929 0.001458 0.002520 0.004946 0.013008
2026-04-12 0.000443 0.000625 0.000914 0.001449 0.002546 0.005125 0.014183
2026-04-19 0.000481 0.000694 0.001044 0.001728 0.003236 0.007234 0.025173